Risk assessment and management in policy and practice
In the case of secure and forensic mental healthcare, the prediction of risk assessment is still problematic. The presumed link between mental disorder and violence has been the driving force behind mental health law and policy for centuries. Yet for three decades, research has shown that clinicians’ unaided assessments of ‘dangerousness’ are barely better than chance.16 Hence, those patients who are a risk to others form a special category in treatment planning, including SDM. At times, the patient may not accept the clinician’s or care team's views of his or her risk. In that case, the patient’s trust in the clinician and treatment will decrease; cognitive distortions may develop leading to problems in recompliance. Hence, in a high secure ward, portions of the risk assessment may need to be kept confidential especially in cases where the patient needs to be monitored for in the long term to prevent harm to others.
Another issue is the contested value of risk assessment tools such as the HCR 2017. The increasing use of risk assessment tools within the mental health sector has been driven by the imperative within services and those who oversee them provide more consistent and defensible measures of likelihood of future risk. The adoption of these instruments can also be explained by research findings, which indicate that they are better at identifying levels of risk than practicing clinicians.17 Proponents of risk tools often claim that they have been validated, seemingly ignoring the fact that validity research necessitates an ongoing process as contexts, populations, evaluation criteria and the salience of risk factors change.18 The variability in the quality and context-dependent appropriateness of these artefacts, in conjunction with the degree of objectivity and subjectivity with which they are applied at the individual patient level is likely to heavily influence the outcome of using collaborative risk assessment in forensic patients. This is an important factor to consider when comparing studies within this subject area, and in choosing which risk assessment methods to use.
Clinical professionals may not always recognise what constitutes authentic patient engagement, mistaking unquestioning receptivity and submission to their professional opinion as indicative of patient insight and compliance. In reality, such seemingly meek and respectful effect may be indicative of little more than fear and a deep sense that their own opinion, as the mentally disordered offender will displease their clinicians if it conflicts with the professional point of view. What someone may interpret as a good example of patient engagement may be little more than a facade of submission and compliance. However, given clinicians are ultimately responsible for patients' behaviour such as suicide, violence and homicide and are answerable to the tribunal, they will usually maintain an appropriate degree of scepticism and proceed with due caution, but with the patients’ welfare in their mind.
According to Langan and Lindow, most practitioners agree with the principle of involving patients more in their recovery process, but few are acting to implement it.19 The same authors in a study in 2008 explored how mental health professionals assessed patient’s risk to others and patients’ knowledge of, and involvement in, risk assessment. The study concluded that there is a research and practice gap about effective means of engaging service users in risk assessment.1 20
Very little literature is available concerning patients’ views and experiences of risk assessment and management. One exception is an observational study that found that patients ‘attempted to understand the system of assessment and sought to affect and reduce their risk status by engaging in overt, compliant behaviours’.21 This is an important consideration with regard to psychoeducation in the context of risk management and warrants further research. It is crucial that with regard to the forensic mental health patient cohort that clinical teams understand, are aware of, and are able to mitigate the risk of patients using their knowledge and understanding of risk assessment to manipulate the process with a view to the risk they pose being underestimated. This remains a regrettably under-researched area.
In another study, it was reported that some professionals lacked confidence or experience in openly discussing risk with patients.22 This indicated a need for more robust training in this area for clinicians. There is also concern that collaborative risk assessment and management might be perceived by clinicians as a threat to their professional hegemony.12
Decisions regarding risk are complex, discretionary professional judgements. It is important for the patients to understand the decision frame, that is, the values, assumptions and contextual pressures that shape the clinician’s decision-making. Multiple barriers to optimising collaborative working between clinicians and patients can present. It is likely that a range of contextual pressures impinge on risk assessment and management decisions, including demand for patient flow, which may overrule individual patient considerations about security needs (ie, a decision to transfer a patient to a ward with fewer security restrictions even when the patient is not ready for it).12
Clinicians may also be influenced by the current climate of policy and public expectation in which they practice and the expectations of service managers and regulators. Qualitative studies of decision making in forensic psychiatry services are scarce but the complexity of forensic psychiatry practice merits more use of such methodology.23 Studies have noted a ‘blame culture’ leading to the adoption of defensive practice and increased paperwork. Concern about independent Inquiries has affected practice and outlooks, including the willingness of clinicians to share decision making with colleagues and patients.24